DEEP LEARNING BASED AN EFFICIENT HYBRID PREDICTION MODEL FOR COVID-19 CROSS-COUNTRY SPREAD AMONG E7 AND G7 COUNTRIES

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused the death of many people around the world and has also caused economic problems for all countries in the world. In the literature, there are many studies to analyze and predict the spread of COVID-19 in cities and countries. However, there is no study to predict and analyze the cross-country spread in the world. In this study, a deep learning based hybrid model was developed to predict and analysis of COVID-19 cross-country spread and a case study was carried out for Emerging Seven (E7) and Group of Seven (G7) countries. It is aimed to reduce the workload of healthcare professionals and to make health plans by predicting the daily number of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Developed model was tested extensively using Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and R Squared (R2). The experimental results showed that the developed model was more successful to predict and analysis of COVID-19 cross-country spread in E7 and G7 countries than Linear Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The developed model has R2 value close to 0.9 in predicting the number of daily cases and deaths in the majority of E7 and G7 countries. © 2023 by the authors.

Intelligent Methods and Models for Assessing Level of Student Adaptation to Online Learning

The problem of introducing online learning is becoming more and more popular in our society. Due to COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine, there is an urgent need for the transition of educational institutions to online learning, so this paper will help people not make mistakes in the process and afterward. The paper's primary purpose is to investigate the effectiveness of machine learning tools that can solve the problem of assessing student adaptation to online learning. These tools include intelligent methods and models, such as classification techniques and neural networks. This work uses data from an online survey of students at different levels: school, college, and university. The survey consists of questions such as gender, age, level of education, whether the student is in the city, class duration, quality of Internet connection, government/non-government educational institution, availability of virtual learning environment, whether the student is familiar with IT, financial conditions, type of Internet connection, a device used for studying, etc. To obtain the results on the effectiveness of online education were used the following machine learning algorithms and models: Random Forest (RF), Extra Trees (ET), Extreme, Light, and Simple Gradient Boosting (GB), Decision Trees (DT), K-neighbors (K-mean), Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naїve Bayes (NB) classifier and others. An intelligent neural network model (NNM) was built to address the main issue. © 2023 Copyright for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). CEUR Workshop Proceedings (CEUR-WS.org)

A Classification Approach to Detect Public Sentiments towards COVID-19 Vaccines

In this paper, team University of Botswana Computer Science (UBCS) investigate the opinions of Twitter users towards vaccine uptake. In particular, we build three different text classifiers to detect people's opinions and classify them as provax-for opinions that are for vaccination, antivax for opinions against vaccination and neutral-for opinions that are neither for or against vaccination. Two different datasets obtained from Twitter, 1 by Cotfas and the other by Fire2022 Organizing team were merged to and used for this study. The dataset contained 4392 tweets. Our first classifier was based on the basic BERT model and the other 2 were machine learning models, Random Forest and Multinomial Naive Bayes models. Naive Bayes classifier outperformed other classifiers with a macro-F1 score of 0.319. © 2022 Copyright for this paper by its authors.

Detecting Ransomware Attacks in Cloud Environment Using Machine Learning-Based Intelligence System in COVID-19 Chaos

2020-2022 provided nearly ideal circumstances for cybercriminals, with confusion and uncertainty dominating the planet due to COVID-19. Our way of life was altered by the COVID-19 pandemic, which also sparked a widespread shift to digital media. However, this change also increased people's susceptibility to cybercrime. As a result, taking advantage of the COVID-19 events' exceedingly unusual circumstances, cybercriminals launched widespread Phishing, Identity theft, Spyware, Trojan-horse, and Ransomware attacks. Attackers choose their victims with the intention of stealing their information, money, or both. Therefore, if we wish to safeguard people from these frauds at a time when millions have already fallen into poverty and the remaining are trying to survive, it is imperative that we put an end to these attacks and assailants. This manuscript proposes an intelligence system for identifying ransomware attacks using nature-inspired and machine-learning algorithms. To classify the network traffic in less time and with enhanced accuracy, Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), two widely used algorithms are coupled in the proposed approach for Feature Selection (FS). Random Forest (RF) approach is used for classification. The system's effectiveness is assessed using the latest ransomware-oriented dataset of CIC-MalMem-2022. The performance is evaluated in terms of accuracy, model building, and testing time and it is found that the proposed method is a suitable solution to detect ransomware attacks. © 2022 IEEE.

Towards Detection of Cyberbullying in Hinglish Code Mixed Data

Covid-19 eruption and lockdown situation have increased the usages of online platforms which have impacted the users. Cyberbullying is one of the negative outcomes of using social media platforms which leads to mental and physical distress. This study proposes a machine learning-based approach for the detection of cyberbullying in Hinglish text. We use the Hinglish Code-Mixed Corpus, which consists of over 6,000 tweets, for our experiments. We use various machine learning algorithms, including Logistic regression (LR), Multinomial Naive Bayes (MNB), Support vector machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), to train our models. We evaluate the performance of the models using standard evaluation metrics such as precision, recall, and F1-score. Our experiments show that the LR with Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency (TFIDF) outperforms the other models, achieving 92% accuracy. Our study demonstrates that machine learning models can be effective for cyberbullying detection in Hinglish text, and the proposed approach can help identify and prevent cyberbullying on social media platforms. © 2023 Bharati Vidyapeeth, New Delhi.

An Exploratory Analysis of Delhi Air Quality Using Statistics and Machine Learning Models

Air pollution is one of the most significant concerns of the present era, which has severe and alarming effects on human health and the environment, thereby escalating the climate change issue. Hence, in-depth analysis of air pollution data and accurate air quality forecasting is crucial in controlling the growing pollution levels. It also aids in designing appropriate policies to prevent exposure to toxic pollutants and taking necessary precautionary measures. Air quality in Delhi, the capital of India, is inferior compared to other major cities in the world. In this study, daily and hourly concentrations of air pollutants in the Delhi region were collected and analyzed using various methods. A comparative analysis is performed based on months, seasons, and the topography of different stations. The effect of the Covid-19 lockdown on the reduction of pollutant levels is also studied. A correlation analysis is performed on the available data to show the relationships and dependencies among different pollutants, their relationship with weather parameters, and the correlations between the stations. Various machine learning models were used for air quality forecasting, like Linear Regression, Vector Auto Regression, Gradient Boosting Machine, Random Forest, and Decision Tree Regression. The performance of these models was compared using RMSE, MAE, and MAPE metrics. This study is focused on the dire state of air pollution in Delhi, the primary reasons behind it, and the efficacy of calculated lockdowns in bringing down pollution levels. It also highlights the potential of Linear Regression and Decision Tree Regression models in predicting the air quality for different time intervals. © 2022 IEEE.

Comparison of Predictive Machine Learning Models to Predict the Level of Adaptability of Students in Online Education

With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, online education has become one of the most important options available to students around the world. Although online education has been widely accepted in recent years, the sudden shift from face-to-face education has resulted in several obstacles for students. This paper, aims to predict the level of adaptability that students have towards online education by using predictive machine learning (ML) models such as Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest-Neighbor (KNN), Support vector machine (SVM), Logistic Regression (LR) and XGBClassifier (XGB).The dataset used in this paper was obtained from Kaggle, which is composed of a population of 1205 high school to college students. Various stages in data analysis have been performed, including data understanding and cleaning, exploratory analysis, training, testing, and validation. Multiple parameters, such as accuracy, specificity, sensitivity, F1 count and precision, have been used to evaluate the performance of each model. The results have shown that all five models can provide optimal results in terms of prediction. For example, the RF and XGB models presented the best performance with an accuracy rate of 92%, outperforming the other models. In consequence, it is suggested to use these two models RF and XGB for prediction of students' adaptability level in online education due to their higher prediction efficiency. Also, KNN, SVM and LR models, achieved a performance of 85%, 76%, 67%, respectively. In conclusion, the results show that the RF and XGB models have a clear advantage in achieving higher prediction accuracy. These results are in line with other similar works that used ML techniques to predict adaptability levels. © 2023, International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications. All Rights Reserved.

Accurate Machine Learning Algorithm for Monkey Pox Based on Covid-19

The Covid-19 virus is still marching all over the world. Many people are getting infected and a few are fatal to death. This research paper expressed that supervised learning has revealed supreme results than unsupervised learning in machine learning. Within supervised learning, random forest regression outplays all other algorithms like logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), etc. Now monkeypox is escalating in other countries at present. This virus is allied to human orthopox viruses. It can expand from one to one through contact person having rash or body fluids etc. The symptoms of monkeypox are much similar to covid19 virus-like fever, cold, fatigue, and body pains. Herewith we concluded that random forest regression shows possible foremost (97.15%) accuracy. © 2023 IEEE.

Comparative Analysis of Classification Techniques on Olympic Games Datasets

Olympic game is a prestigious ceremony that occurs after every four years. However, due to the spread of coronavirus in 2020, the game was held in 2021, which is post-Covid. The main aim of this research is to find out if there was a difference in the performance of nations in Rio 2016 Olympics (pre-Covid) and Tokyo 2020 Olympics (post-Covid). Statistical analysis is carried out to find the correlation between the different variables. One of the highly correlated variables (Gold Tally) is removed while performing the classification analysis. The idea is to see if the classifiers are able to do the comparative analysis without it or not. The classification algorithms utilized in this research are Decision Table, Decision Tree, Naïve Bayes, and Random Forest. The datasets used in this research are imbalanced sets, which were later transformed to balance sets through under-sampling. Random Forest was able to give 100% accuracy in both datasets whereas the True Positive Rate (TPR) was also 100%. After doing the comparative analysis it was found that irrespective of pre and post-Covid, the performance of athletes did not change. This paves the way for other researchers to investigate if Covid had any impact on the performance of the athletes or not. In the future, more vast variables will be investigated to do a more detailed comparative analysis. © 2022 IEEE.

Automatic Diagnosis of COVID-19 Based on Machine Learning

The lives and health of individuals are significantly threatened by the extremely infectious and dangerous Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). For the containment of the epidemic, quick and precise COVID-19 detection and diagnosis are essential. Currently, artificial diagnosis based on medical imaging and nucleic acid detection are the major approaches used for COVID-19 detection and diagnosis. However, nucleic acid detection takes a long time and requires a dedicated test box, while manual diagnosis based on medical images relies too much on professional knowledge, and analysis takes a long time, and it is difficult to find hidden lesions. Thanks to the rapid development of pattern recognition algorithms, building a COVID-19 diagnostic model based on machine learning and clinical symptoms has become a feasible rapid detection solution. In this paper, support vector machines and random forest algorithms are used to build a COVID-19 diagnostic model, respectively. Based on the quantitative comparison of the performance of the two methods, the future development trends in this field are discussed. © 2023 IEEE.

A Machine Learning-driven IoT Architecture for Predicting the Growth and Trend of Covid-19 Epidemic Outbreaks to Identify High-risk Locations

Covid-19 has had a destructive influence on global economics, social life, education, and technologies. The rise of the Covid-19 pandemic has increased the use of digital tools and technologies for epidemic control. This research uses machine learning (ML) models to identify populated areas and predict the disease's risk and impact. The proposed system requires only details about mask utilization, temperature, and distance between individuals, which helps protect the individual's privacy. The gathered data is transferred to an ML engine in the cloud to determine the risk probability of public areas concerning Covid-19. Extracted data are input for multiple ML techniques such as Random Forest (RF), Decision tree (DT), Naive Bayes classifier(NBC), Neural network(NN), and Support vector machine (SVM). Expectation maximization (EM), K-means, Density, Filtered, and Farthest first (FF) clustering algorithms are applied for clustering. Compared to other algorithms, the K-means produces better superior accuracy. The regression technique is utilized for prediction. The outcomes of several methods are compared, and the most suitable ML algorithms utilized in this study are used to identify high-risk locations. In comparison to other identical architectures, the suggested architecture retains excellent accuracies. It is observed that the time taken to build the model using locally weighted learning(LWL) was 0.02 seconds, and the NN took more time to build, which is 0.90 seconds. To test the model, an LWL algorithm took more time which is 1.73 seconds, and the NN took less time to test, which is 0.02 seconds. The NBC has a 99.38 percent accuracy, the RF classifier has a 97.33 percent accuracy, and the DT has a 94.51 percent accuracy for the same data set. These algorithms have significant possibilities for predicting the likelihood of crowd risks of Covid-19 in a public space. This approach generates automatic notifications to concerned government authorities in any aberrant detection. This study is likely to aid researchers in modeling healthcare systems and spur additional research into innovative technology. © 2023 IEEE.

A Prediction Model for Screening Covid-19 Patients

This study aims to compare the performance of data classifying for COVID-19 patients. In this study, the patients' data acquired from the department of disease control (1,608,923 patients) are collected. They are patients records from January 2020 to October 2021. The study focus on three main data classification techniques: Random forest;Neural Network;and Naïve Bayes. The authors study the comparative performance of the techniques. We apply the split test method to evaluate the performance of data prediction. The data are divided into two parts: training data. The results show that Random Forest has an accuracy of 93.51%. Neural network has an accuracy of 93.02%. Naive Bayes has an accuracy of 27.54%. This presents the Random Forest with the highest accuracy Figure for screening of COVID-19 patients © 2022 IEEE.

A New Machine Learning Framework for Detecting COVID-19 From Clinical Data on Lung And Heart Function

Currently, the need for real-time COVID-19 detection methods with minimal tools and cost is an important challenge. The available methods are still difficult to apply, slow, costly, and their accuracy is low. In this work, a novel machine learning-based framework to predict COVID-19 is proposed, which is based on rapid inpatient clinical tests of lung and heart function. Compared with current cognition therapy techniques, the proposed framework can significantly improve the accuracy and time performance of COVID-19 diagnosis without any lab or equipment requirements. In this work, five parameters of clinical testing were adopted;Respiration rate, Heart rate, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and mean arterial blood pressure. After obtaining results for these tests, a pre-trained intelligent model based on Random Forest Tree (RFT) machine learning algorithm is used for detection. This model was trained by about 13,558 records of the COVID19 testing dataset collected from King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre (KFSH&RC) in Saudi Arabia. Experiments have shown that the proposed framework performs highly in detecting COVID infections by 96.9%. Its results can be output in minutes, which supports clinical staff in screening COVID-19 patients from their inpatient clinical data. © 2022 IEEE.

Customer Sentiments Toward Saudi Banks During the Covid-19 Pandemic

In view of the recent interest of Saudi banks in customers' opinions through social media, our research aims to capture the sentiments of bank users on Twitter. Thus, we collected and manually annotated more than 12, 000 Saudi dialect tweets, and then we conducted experiments on machine learning models including: Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and Logistic Regression (RL) as well as state-of-the-art language models (i.e. MarBERT) to provide baselines. Results show that the accuracy in SVM, LR, RF, and MarBERT achieved 82.4%, 82%, 81%, and 82.1% respectively. Our models code and dataset will be made publicly available on GitHub. © ICNLSP 2022.All rights reserved

Utilizing Sentiment Analysis to Enhance the Quality of Online Learning

The COVID-19 pandemic spread worldwide in the year 2020 and became a global health emergency. This pandemic has brought awareness that social distancing and quarantine are ideal ways to protect people in the community from infection. Therefore, Saudi Arabia used online learning instead of stopping it completely to continue the education process. This paper proposes to use machine-learning algorithms for Arabic sentiment analysis to find out what students and teaching staff thought about online learning during the COVID-19 outbreak. During the pandemic, a real-world data set was gathered that included about 100,000 Arabic tweets related to online learning. The overall goal is to use sentiment analysis of tweets to find patterns that help improve the quality of online learning. The data set that was collected has three classes: 'Positive,' 'Negative,' and 'Neutral.' Crossvalidation is used to run the experiments ten times. Precision, recall, and F-measure was used to measure how well the algorithms worked. Classifiers, such as Support Vector Machines, K nearest neighbors, and Random Forest, were used to classify the dataset. Moreover, a detailed analysis and comparison of the results are made in this research. Finally, a visual examination of the data is made using the word cloud technique. © 2022 IEEE.

Fake news detection using social media data for Khasi language

With the advancement in technology, web technol-ogy in the form of social media is one of the main origins of information worldwide. Web technology has helped people to enhance their ability to know, learn, and gain knowledge about things around them. The benefits that technological advancement offers are boundless. However, apart from these, social media also has major issues related to problems and challenges concerning filtering out the right information from the wrong ones. The sources of information become highly unreliable at times, and it is difficult to differentiate and decipher real news or real information from fake ones. Cybercrime, through fraud mechanisms, is a pervasive menace permeating media technology every single day. Hence, this article reports an attempt to fake news detection in Khasi social media data. To execute this work, the data analyzed are extracted from different Internet platforms mainly from social media articles and posts. The dataset consists of fake news and also real news based on COVID-19, and also other forms of wrong information disseminated throughout the pandemic period. We have manually annotated the assembled Khasi news and the data set consists of 116 news data. We have used three machine learning techniques in our experiment, the Decision Tree, the Logistic Regression, and the Random Forest approach. We have observed in the experimental results that the Decision Tree-based approach yielded accurate results with an accuracy of 87%, whereas the Logistic Regression approach yielded an accuracy of 82% and the Random Forest approach yielded an accuracy of 75%. © 2023 IEEE.

Predictive Six Sigma for Turkish manufacturers: utilization of machine learning tools in DMAIC

PurposeThis study aims to emphasize utilization of Predictive Six Sigma to achieve process improvements based on machine learning (ML) techniques embedded in define, measure, analyze, improve, control (DMAIC). With this aim, this study presents selection and utilization of ML techniques, including multiple linear regression (MLR), artificial neural network (ANN), random forests (RF), gradient boosting machines (GBM) and k-nearest neighbors (k-NN) in the analyze and improve phases of Six Sigma DMAIC.Design/methodology/approachA data set containing 320 observations with nine input and one output variables is used. To achieve the objective which was to decrease the number of fabric defects, five ML techniques were compared in terms of prediction performance and best tools were selected. Next, most important causes of defects were determined via these tools. Finally, parameter optimization was conducted for minimum number of defects.FindingsAmong five ML tools, ANN, GBM and RF are found to be the best predictors. Out of nine potential causes, "machine speed” and "fabric width” are determined as the most important variables by using these tools. Then, optimum values for "machine speed” and "fabric width” for fabric defect minimization are determined both via regression response optimizer and ANN surface optimization. Ultimately, average defect number was decreased from 13/roll to 3/roll, which is a considerable decrease attained through utilization of ML techniques in Six Sigma.Originality/valueAddressing an important gap in Six Sigma literature, in this study, certain ML techniques (i.e. MLR, ANN, RF, GBM and k-NN) are compared and the ones possessing best performances are used in the analyze and improve phases of Six Sigma DMAIC.

Multi-branch sustainable convolutional neural network for disease classification

Pandemic and natural disasters are growing more often, imposing even more pressure on life care services and users. There are knowledge gaps regarding how to prevent disasters and pandemics. In recent years, after heart disease, corona virus disease-19 (COVID-19), brain stroke, and cancer are at their peak. Different machine learning and deep learning-based techniques are presented to detect these diseases. Existing technique uses two branches that have been used for detection and prediction of disease accurately such as brain hemorrhage. However, existing techniques have been focused on the detection of specific diseases with double-branches convolutional neural networks (CNNs). There is a need to develop a model to detect multiple diseases at the same time using computerized tomography (CT) scan images. We proposed a model that consists of 12 branches of CNN to detect the different types of diseases with their subtypes using CT scan images and classify them more accurately. We proposed multi-branch sustainable CNN model with deep learning architecture trained on the brain CT hemorrhage, COVID-19 lung CT scans and chest CT scans with subtypes of lung cancers. Feature extracted automatically from preprocessed input data and passed to classifiers for classification in the form of concatenated feature vectors. Six classifiers support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), K-nearest neighbor (K-NN), artificial neural network (ANN), naïve Bayes (NB), linear regression (LR) classifiers, and three ensembles the random forest (RF), AdaBoost, gradient boosting ensembles were tested on our model for classification and prediction. Our model achieved the best results on RF on each dataset. Respectively, on brain CT hemorrhage achieved (99.79%) accuracy, on COVID-19 lung CT scans achieved (97.61%), and on chest CT scans dataset achieved (98.77%). © 2023 Wiley Periodicals LLC.

Machine Learning for Diabetes, Heart Disease, Pneumonia, and Covid-19 Diagnostics

Machine Learning, a part of artificial intelligence which is applied in numerous health-related sector which includes the development of innovative medical procedures, the treatment of chronic diseases and the management of medical data. If a patient can recognize the disease at an early stage from the ease of home, they can start their medication sooner and consult a doctor accordingly for their treatment. This paper attempts to detect various diseases in the healthcare field such as Covid-19 and Pneumonia using Image processing technique with the help of Convolutional Neural Network, and other diseases such as Heart Disease and Diabetes using Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector Machine and K-Nearest Neighbour Classifiers. © 2022 IEEE.

Machine Learning Techniques for Predicting Risks of Late Delivery

Supply chain is a cornerstone of the eCommerce industry and is a key component in its growth. Supply chain data analytics and risk management in the eCommerce space have picked up steam in recent times. With the availability of suitable & capable resources for big data and artificial intelligence, predictive analytics has become a significant area of interest to achieve organizational excellence by exploiting data available and developing data-driven support systems. The existing literature in supply chain risk management explain various methods assisting to identify & mitigate risks using big data and machine learning (ML) techniques across industries. Although ML techniques are used in various industries, not many aspects of eCommerce had utilized predictive analytics to their benefit. In the eCommerce industry, delivery is paramount for the business. During COVID-19 pandemic, needs changed. Reliable delivery services are preferred to speedy delivery. Multiple parameters involve delivering the product to a customer as per promised due date. This research will try to predict the risks of late deliveries to online shopping customers by analyzing the historical data using machine learning techniques and comparing them by multiple performance metrics. As a part of this comparative study, a new hybrid technique which is a combination of Logistic Regression, XGBoost, Light GBM, and Random Forest is built which has outperformed all the other ensemble and individual algorithms with respect to accuracy, specificity, precision, and F1-score. This study will benefit the eCommerce companies to improve their customer satisfaction by predicting late deliveries accurately and early. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.